Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.005771 0.006106 0.006453 0.006841 0.007262 0.007708 0.008217
2026-01-04 0.005263 0.005756 0.006293 0.006924 0.007649 0.008462 0.009449
2026-01-11 0.004873 0.005445 0.006088 0.006870 0.007803 0.008893 0.010279
2026-01-18 0.004601 0.005229 0.005952 0.006856 0.007970 0.009317 0.011098
2026-01-25 0.004355 0.005018 0.005797 0.006793 0.008054 0.009625 0.011776
2026-02-01 0.004249 0.004961 0.005816 0.006935 0.008389 0.010257 0.012911
2026-02-08 0.004078 0.004813 0.005709 0.006905 0.008492 0.010585 0.013654
2026-02-15 0.003938 0.004694 0.005629 0.006899 0.008620 0.010946 0.014461
2026-02-22 0.003772 0.004533 0.005486 0.006797 0.008608 0.011106 0.014983
2026-03-01 0.003626 0.004390 0.005357 0.006707 0.008601 0.011266 0.015511
2026-03-08 0.003526 0.004301 0.005295 0.006701 0.008708 0.011593 0.016314
2026-03-15 0.003354 0.004112 0.005091 0.006488 0.008506 0.011448 0.016352
2026-03-22 0.003280 0.004050 0.005056 0.006512 0.008651 0.011834 0.017296
2026-03-29 0.003230 0.004019 0.005061 0.006591 0.008879 0.012363 0.018529
2026-04-05 0.003138 0.003927 0.004979 0.006540 0.008908 0.012580 0.019239
2026-04-12 0.003066 0.003859 0.004926 0.006528 0.008992 0.012886 0.020137
2026-04-19 0.002982 0.003773 0.004845 0.006469 0.009001 0.013067 0.020817
2026-04-26 0.002965 0.003777 0.004891 0.006601 0.009315 0.013780 0.022584
2026-05-03 0.002898 0.003711 0.004833 0.006573 0.009370 0.014049 0.023508
2026-05-10 0.002843 0.003657 0.004791 0.006567 0.009459 0.014384 0.024603
2026-05-17 0.002763 0.003568 0.004695 0.006473 0.009396 0.014440 0.025117
2026-05-24 0.002691 0.003487 0.004608 0.006389 0.009345 0.014514 0.025675
2026-05-31 0.002644 0.003441 0.004571 0.006383 0.009427 0.014837 0.026819